Skip to content

Things I Learned During the 2020 Epidemic

August 7, 2020

I’ve learned a lot from the Coronavirus. I’m slightly more informed about epidemics and immunology than I was six months ago. One thing is certain, we’ve learned a lot about the politicians we put in office. This might not apply to you, but see if some of it does.

  • We might have elected the wrong person if the local bar and liquor store is open, but the local AA meeting was forced to shut down.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if we’ll will be arrested for opening our business, but not for burning one down.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if we’ll will be arrested for going back to work, but convicted criminals are released from jail.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if we can be arrested for walking in the park, but our politician flew his family to a beach in Florida.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if people can gather to protest on the street, but we cannot come together to praise in church.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our politician moves people who are contagious with Covid 19 into nursing homes filled with old people.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if the local abortion clinic is open, but the pro-life pregnancy clinic is padlocked.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our politicians praised a black man who fought with the police, but ignored the death of a black store owner who was murdered by looters.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if we can file for divorce, but can’t apply for a permit to buy a gun.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if armed protesters can threaten us, but an honest homeowner or business man was charged for being armed in public.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our barber will be arrested for cutting hair.. unless he is cutting the politician’s hair.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our gym is closed.. except for the times when a politician wants to exercise.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our politician with his law degree is telling our doctor which drugs to use.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our neighbors die because they can’t get hospital treatment, while our hospitals have empty beds waiting for the flood of Covid patients that never came.
  • We might have elected the wrong person when school teachers try to burn down federal buildings, and then complain that we’re not respecting teacher-safety because we want to open schools.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our community has a higher death rate from Covid 19 than the rates we see in countries which never imposed a quarantine or social distancing.
  • We might have elected the wrong person if our city wants to defund the police, and then hires private security guards to protect city executives.

All this is understandable since all of us make mistakes. Some of us learn from our mistakes rather than repeat them over and over.

Let’s learn from this epidemic and not repeat our old mistakes at the ballot box in November.



If this post made you smile or think, then please share it with a friend. RM

Gun-Control Fails Again, same lie, different day

August 5, 2020

The propaganda of gun-control just got harder. Millions of honest citizens in the USA saw pictures of our inner cities in flames. They heard rioters say they wanted to spread that violence across the country. We read stories of the police being ambushed and killed while Democrat politicians called to defund the police. Millions of us went out and bought a gun for the first time. That makes it harder than ever to sell the fantasy of gun-control.

Gun Control is a fantasy-
Gun-control sells the utopian idea that we can stop criminal behavior by taking tools from law abiding citizens. We’ve passed 23 thousand firearms regulations in the USA so far. With each outrageous crime that is splashed across the news media, we’re told that the next gun regulation will finally make criminals obey the law. We’ve never seen gun-control work before, but this next law is sure to be different.

As you can imagine, that rationale gets harder to sell.

Gun-control takes power from honest citizens and gives it to politicians-
That utopian ideal of gun-control is only the frosting on the cake. What lies beneath is equally important. In the United States, gun-control significantly infringes the right for honest people to bear arms. That, in turn, increases our dependence on the police and local government for our protection. We have to ask permission to defend ourselves with tools. Politicians benefit as they to sell our rights back to us.

We’ve seen politicians withdraw police patrols in some areas, and provide extra patrols to favored political constituents. We’ve seen judges, lawyers, and political donors get the right to carry concealed firearms, while that right is denied to the rest of the public. People who are well known and well monied stay protected. The elites alway have the money and connections to hire armed security. Your family, in contrast, not so much.

In politics, money talks and politicians listen. The business of gun-control means rich political donors can disarm you while the elites stay protected and politicians get rich.

When politicians legislate what can be bought and sold,
the first things to be bought and sold are politicians.

It takes a lot of propaganda to sell the myth of gun-control-
You’ve seen how the world works. We’ve all seen mass-murder and criminal violence in countries that have extreme gun-control laws. Think about the armed drug-wars across Mexico and the armed terrorist attacks across France that weren’t stopped by gun-control. Here in the US, we can look at Socialists controlled cities where it is extremely difficult to purchase and carry a personal firearm. Those cities have record setting rates of violent crime. Rich gun-control donors have poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the gun-control propaganda machine to spread the opposing narrative that criminals obey our laws and that a few more gun laws is all we need to achieve peace.

Gun-control groups bought schools of public health. They bought media outlets. They influenced the scripts of our TV and movie entertainment. Gun-control groups brag about buying politicians each election cycle. This propaganda machine tell us the news that fits what their rich donors want us to believe.

Lately, we were told that the terrible police procedures we saw in Minneapolis were caused by the police having guns, that “police violence is gun violence”. Gun-control advocates said the police need to go door to door and take guns from honest citizens. We’re also told that only the police should have guns, and that the police should be disarmed and disbanded.

No one said that propaganda has to make sense.

We’re told it is our fault that gun-control fails and violent criminals use guns-
Utopian fantasies fail to deliver the perfection they promise, and gun-control is no exception. We saw alcohol prohibition fail. We are seeing drug prohibition fail today, yet we’re told that gun prohibition will succeed tomorrow. Rather than examine their failed fantasy, gun-control advocates need a scapegoat to blame. They said it is your fault, that honest gun owners are really violent criminals in waiting.

Gun-control advocates ignore that licensed concealed carry holders are more law-abiding and non-violent than the police. They ignore that armed citizens shoot fewer innocent bystanders than the police, but that is the truth.

The gun-control propagandists ignore how criminals get their guns. Organizations that move billions of dollars worth of drugs, millions of illegal immigrants, and thousand of victims of human trafficking can move a few pounds of steel, brass, and lead with ease. Instead, the gun-control advocates blame you. We’re told, ‘If we disarm the honest citizens in the US, then criminals won’t have guns.’

You are the cure, not the disease-
You might have to dig, but the truth is out there. Honest citizens in the US defend themselves and their neighbors with a legally owned firearm millions of times each year. You protect your families and your communities. Ask your politicians and your news papers to do the same.

Register to vote. Speak up in the public square. All you have to do is speak the truth, and your voice is louder than the propagandist’s.

The original article is here.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend. RM

Virtue Signaling for a Virus Costs Lives Around the World

August 3, 2020

The elites in the first-world want to show their virtue by wearing a mask and telling us to stay at home. That sounds good to some, but we’re not all in this together. Big government with its “one size fits all” solution cost lives. Stay-at-home orders are a death sentence in the third world.

From Lifesite News-

“Over 10,000 children are now dying each month due to the economic disruption that COVID-19 restrictions have imposed in Latin America, Southern Asia, and sub-Saharan African communities.”

The full article is here. Read deeper and learn the truth behind the headlines. RM

Big Government is Alien and Inhumane

July 29, 2020

Our electronic devices are a window to the world, but the world is bigger than what we’re shown on our phones. There are more things going on than we can learn from a few headlines or even a simple graph. Recently, we were told that the “Number of Coronavirus Cases is Increasing.” We were never told the truth that the death rate from covid 19 is a fraction of what we saw at its peak in April. We were not told the truth that our hospitals have capacity to handle new covid cases in addition to the regular patients the hospital would see on an ordinary day. We’ve been enticed by the scary headline rather than informed, but the headline worked. The media got the clicks they needed, and the politicians used our fear to achieve their political goals. Unfortunately, the news isn’t showing us the ugly side of big-government directives during the quarantine.

Sitting at home for another month of quarantine, watching online entertainment,
and ordering takeout isn’t how most of us can live.

Another month of carry-out quarantine isn’t a big deal if you’re the top 1-percent living in the USA. It isn’t a big hardship if your government job pays you to stay home. In contrast, millions of us are out of work. That is a big deal for most of us. When we look across the USA, over a hundred million adults don’t have a months worth of expenses saved in the bank. That means we quickly don’t have a place to live. We don’t have money to put gas in the tank to get to a job interview.. when there is work to be had.

Covid death rate is USA up to 29 July, 2020

We don’t want to, but some of us were ordered to stay home. We flattened the curve. We were told that we’re all in this together, but that isn’t true. Welfare checks can never fill the gap between our old jobs and their new quarantine.

The politicians and bureaucrats didn’t think of that.. or they didn’t care.

There is something worse that the media won’t show us. We have old people who have been isolated by the quarantine. Many of them need daily care to survive. They might be cared for by relatives or cared for by paid staff in a nursing home. A few of the elderly are dying of Covid, but many more are dying from the other diseases that claim the elderly day in and day out. Too often, these senior citizens are dying alone. They don’t understand why their family isn’t there to comfort them, and families are denied that choice by government edict. Politicians promised that we’d save lives, not that they’d leave people to die alone.

Leaving the elderly to die alone probably wasn’t a consideration when some US governors
and bureaucrats issued their quarantine plans.

Look beyond our borders. When we look at the world, over a billion of us don’t have reliable electricity. Stay at home orders don’t make sense when you have to go out get water for your family every day. Not having electricity means you don’t have refrigeration and a reliable way to store food for your family. Those stay at home orders are not enforceable when people have to go out every day to get food and fuel. International agencies promised millions of dollars to third world dictators if their country would impose lockdowns on their people. Starving in place might be a fault, but it could have been a feature of those plans.

Politicians and international bureaucrats never weigh the plight of people in different circumstances than their own.

The so called Covid epidemic of 2020 has been a disaster that was built from the top down. The current death rate in the USA from Covid-19 is higher than in countries like Sweden that never instituted a quarantine. The legacy media needed headlines to boost their falling ratings. Socialist politicians needed a failing economy to stay in the news. In contrast, the people of the world needed to be left alone to sort out their own affairs. We were doing pretty well before the media propped up the dictators abroad..and at home.

Once news of the epidemic hit the papers, the politicians were afraid of accusing headlines in the media. It was trivially easy to blame the orange-man for people dying in New York City nursing homes. Too many of us were easily infected by sensational journalism on the tube and in our social media. Fortunately, we can inoculate ourselves and our families. We have to build herd immunity to lies.

Journalists and politicians can lie, but they can’t survive if they are ignored. The good news is that we know far more than they do. The real world is at our fingertips, at least until Chinese-style censorship is accepted in the USA. We need to make the media afraid of the consumers, and the politicians afraid of the voters.

Now that we look at our history, we’ve done those things before. We can, and must, do it again.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend. RM


What Should we do About Coronavirus?

July 22, 2020

We’re told that a growing number of us have Covid-19, or had it in the past. Reporters then find experts to say that there isn’t a good reason to leave your home. Many things are true, but only a few facts are relevant to wise public policy on the Covid-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. It seems the media is less interested in informing the public and more interested in selling fear.

We’ve tests some workplaces and reported every worker as exposed if a single person tested positive for the virus. We’ve tested some people more than once, so they could be counted as several people who did not have the virus when they are really the same person being tracked over time. We’ve also seen hospitals inflate the number of Covid deaths when they include people who died after exposure to the virus even though the virus did not cause their deaths. In determining if the virus is dangerous, the answer you get depends on the question you ask.

As of now, Covid-19 is in the general population. Who gets sick is as important as how they are treated. Over half of the Covid deaths are from people over 75 years of age. In contrast, one-out-of-680 Covid deaths are under 25 years of age. Covid kills old people and people with pre-existing medical conditions. As dangerous as that sounds, it means that Covid-19 is slightly less dangerous for the elderly than the seasonal flu and pneumonia.

Even knowing that fact, we now recognize that you shouldn’t put contagious patients into nursing homes to recover. Socialized medicine is slow to learn.

We have some fairly solid data from confined environments like cruise ships, and US naval ships. The average age on a cruise ship is 46 years old, and the fatality rate is about one-in-700. The average age of the sailors on a US naval ship is about 24 years old, and the fatality rate from Covid-19 is about one-in-2000.

Even the simplests questions are difficult. You could test positive for Covid-19 when you were exposed to the common cold if there were still fragments of the virus in your body. You could tests as having an immune response to Covid-19 if you were exposed to an earlier strain of the coronavirus like SARS. The good news is that some of that antibody response may be real. Many of us are walking around with an immune system that will quickly respond to Covid, or at least reduce our symptoms.

That is great news since as of today, there is no vaccine for Covid-19. The only way we reduce the spread of the disease is for enough of us to recover from the disease that the virus can not find enough new people to infect and the virus dies out. The sooner that happens, the better, because Covid isn’t the only danger we face. I’m concerned about your grandma, but I’m also concerned about your kids.

Quarantine, in all its many forms, is a danger too. We’ve seen spiking rates of suicide. Some medical centers report more suicides than deaths from Covid-19.

We also know that drug and alcohol addictions have spiked during the quarantine. That shouldn’t surprise us. Forced lockdowns put millions of us out of work. Increased unemployment leads to a cycle of depression and drug use. We saw it before and we should expect to see more of it with the continuing Covid-19 lockdowns.

Covid Deaths per Day

The number of deaths from Covid-19 peaked at 2300 per day back on April 16th. We fell to a low of about 500 per day by June 28th. A more important measure is the utilization of acute care facilities to treat Covid-19. If your hospital wasn’t overwhelmed back in the middle of
April, then you should send your kids out to play. You should probably be back at work and your vulnerable co-workers should stay home.

The sooner our kids get the sniffles from Covid the better. We want our kids, the segment of the population that has a low risk from Covid, to become immune to the virus and thus help protect the more vulnerable segments of our population. That is how herd-immunity works, but wait until you’re well go visit grandma.

We protect the weak by letting the strong become immune to the virus.

It is true that some people will become sick and die from Covid-19. Hiding indoors won’t change that other than to shift the timeline to a later date. Quarantine costs lives too. If grandma is in her own home, then the sooner the virus dies out, the safer grandma will be.

We flattened the peak. Now, let’s flatten the fear.

I gave you 700 words. Please share them with a friend who needs them. RM


Your Rights Come Before Politics

July 19, 2020

Politics are real. Politics sets priorities between competing public interests. The process is never perfect. It gets ugly when existing political interests work against your individual rights.

Let’s take an easy example first. Suppose you want to gather people together and voice your opinions. The government says you need a permit for a public gathering. The rationale is that we don’t want several groups trying to use the same space at the same time. Now you learn that there is a permit process, a required interview, and an application fee. The bureaucrats say they are busy and schedule your interview for nine months from now due to Covid-19. Clearly, your right of free speech has been infringed.

Things like that happen more often and in more ways than we’d like to admit. The reasons are easy to understand. Politicians don’t want the protester’s complaints voiced in public. The news media might pick up the story and amplify the citizen’s concerns. Politicians don’t want to see a large group of passionate people expressing a clear and compelling message. The politician might have to change how public resources are spent because that will upset the existing interests that got the politician elected.

Scheduling a demonstration on public property was first called a public safety concern but it was quickly manipulated by politicians to serve their personal interests. When politicians restrict the right of free expression, many protesters simply bypass bureaucratic roadblocks and hold illegal assemblies.

That was an easy example of public policy. Now I’ll make the example more difficult, but no less hard to swallow.

We’ve all seen riots on the news. You’ve seen stores looted and homes invaded. You’ve seen pictures of violence on the street and read about innocent people being killed.

You are an honest citizen with a clean criminal record. Like tens of millions of people before you, now you decide to get a firearm to protect yourself and your family. You also want to carry your firearm with you as you go to work and as you move about with your family in public. You’ve taken your firearms safety classes, and you and your spouse apply to your local sheriff to get your concealed carry permits. That is how things work in theory.

This is where my theoretical story crashes into hard reality. The deputy at the sheriff’s office says you can submit your concealed carry application, and schedules your appointment eight months from now.

That is a problem, and exactly what happened in northeast Ohio where honest citizens were told to wait 8 months for their concealed carry application to be processed. By law, the sheriff is required to process your application in 45 days. Sheriffs violated the spirit of the law, but technically remained within the letter of the law, by delaying your application for months.* That is neither what legislators intended nor what citizens were told would happen when the Ohio’s carry laws were enacted.

Ohio State Flag

We passed gun laws after politicians told us that making honest people get a permit would disarm criminals. That promise sounded plausible at first. Then, we discovered that criminals get their weapons illegally and don’t obey our gun laws. We paid the price of a slow-acting bureaucracy, but never enjoyed the reduction in crime that legislators promised.

In a perfect world, the state attorney general would intervene to stop these delays. The AG would remind sheriffs that denying a civil right under color of law carries severe penalties. A wise AG would also suggest alternative sources of funding and manpower to process concealed carry applications. We don’t live in a perfect world.

Remember that there are 16 states that passed a form of constitutional carry where citizens with a clean criminal record may carry a concealed firearm in public without a state permit. Those states don’t require an application to exercise the individual right of self-defense. As a side benefit, constitutional carry doesn’t require a government bureaucrat to risk infection with Covid-19 by dealing with the public.

The Ohio legislature talked about constitutional carry.. but never acted. It is time to act unless sheriffs reduce the processing delays to issue carry licenses to honest citizens.

In the real world, it is the squeaky wheel that gets the grease.
We only get the rights for which we are willing to protest and fight.

There are interesting psychological forces at work when citizens apply for a carry permit. Each concealed carry applicant thought that the process was unfair, but wondered what he could do to change it. That individual never sees the thousand other applicants who try to apply each month.

In contrast, a thousand angry citizens protesting at the sheriff’s office at one time are a significant political force that can change elections. Their protests can get their rights restored in a timely manner. (I’d also invite local mayors, state representatives, and the attorney general to the protest, but that is just me.)

The right to bear arms and the right to petition the government work best when they work together, but time is short. Criminals and rioters won’t wait for permits.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend

*ORC 2923.125 section D(1) Except as provided in division (D)(3) of this section, within forty-five days after a sheriff’s receipt of an applicant’s completed application form for a concealed handgun license under this section… shall issue to the applicant a concealed handgun license…


The Racism and Bigotry the Left Desperately Wants to Ignore

July 17, 2020

Look at us. Consider Los Angeles, Oakland, Boston, New York City, Trenton, and Baltimore. For good reason, each would call themselves a Democrat controlled city. They have not had a Republican majority on their city councils in decades. Despite their words to the contrary, these cities are openly racist and sexist when it comes to fundamental human rights. The political-left doesn’t want to talk about it, but it is strikingly easy to prove. Discover it for yourself if you have doubts. Try to get a permit to legally carry a firearm in those cities. The results in those cities are consistently shocking.

  • Blacks and hispanics are routinely denied the right to own a gun by local law enforcement.
  • Blacks and hispanics are falsely rejected by the FBI’s national instant background check system at a rate that is disproportionate compared to whites.
  • Blacks and hispanics are routinely denied the right to legally carry a firearm in public by law enforcement.
  • Blacks and hispanics are disproportionately stopped on the street by police and searched for weapons.

Across the US, tens of millions of us legally carry a concealed firearm in public. That isn’t true in those deep-blue-cities. There, the right of self-defense is reserved for our social-elites like politicians, judges, celebrities, and a few ex-law enforcement officers.

That doesn’t seem fair. We don’t see politicians living in the poor parts of town. We don’t see politicians working in convenience stores late at night. Armed politicians are not out on the street protecting the young single mom who is walking home in the dark. The elites lived behind locked gates.

The racist roots of gun control

Compare those cities to what we see in a larger picture of the USA. Looking across the country and looking back decades, we see a consistent pattern of increasing gun ownership and a falling rate of violent crime. Gun ownership almost doubled and violent crime dropped by half since the 1970s. Fortunately, in the last few years we see minorities and women as the fastest growing segment of gun owners. Ethnic minorities and women are also seeking their carry permits in ever growing numbers. The exceptions are in our deep-blue-cities where Democrats hold power. In contrast with the rest of the country, those cities show rising rates of violence, much of it directed at minorities and women.

Let me back up those sweeping statements with a particular example. If you are hispanic or a woman living in Los Angeles, then you’re over ten thousand times less likely to be granted a carry permit compared to the rates we see in the rest of the United States. We see similar discrimination in the other deep-blue cities I mentioned.

The excuses for this overt bigotry hasn’t changed significantly with time. Politicians and local law enforcement sell the privilege of self-defense to their political friends and donors. Those sad results are consistent once honest citizens with a clean criminal record have to show a “demonstrated need” and “good moral character” to legally own a gun. Please remember that police denied the Reverend Martin Luther King the right to carry a firearm for self-defense. If Reverend King had insufficient moral character and need then the rest of us don’t stand a chance even today.

The leftists elites and their mainstream mouthpiece ignore this bigotry. The elites never pay a political price for disarming honest citizens with brown or black skin.

The elites don’t need to care about armed defense because they already have their permits and their private security.

The mainstream media refuses to ask the embarrassing questions why the elites deserve protection but minorities and women don’t. With few exceptions, the so called civil rights groups are also shockingly silent rather than defending the right of self-defense for everyone. Where is their call for equal justice across the US?

There is some significant good news. Over the last several years, we’ve seen a growing segment of minority gun owners in red-states. I hope they spread the culture of responsible gun ownership across the US despite the racism holding them back in blue-states.

Take a friend shooting, and let freedom ring from coast to coast.

I gave you 700 words. Please share them with a friend and leave a comment. RM



Frightening Ourselves in the Age of Fear and Rage

July 15, 2020

Synthetic reality

I can’t watch television. There was a time when I thought the talking heads were giving us the news. Now, I see the so called “news” as actors who are feeding me their daily dose of fear and rage. I ignored the Orellian exaggerations for a while, but now I can’t. The problem is that facts don’t matter and we’re easy to manipulate once we’ve overdosed on fear and rage. Those emotions are like dangerous drugs because I can’t think when I’m angry and afraid. How did we assume such a weak and subservient position when we have the world of information at our fingertips?

Like many truths that are obvious in hindsight, we should have known we were vulnerable to media manipulation. As early as 1938 we panicked when an actor, Orson Welles, read a science fiction story on the radio. Because of that broadcast, we thought that H.G. Wells’s science fiction story “War of the Worlds” was real. We thought we were being invaded by space aliens from Mars and we panicked. We fared slightly better in 1954 when a small latex monster was put on the TV and we watched Godzilla destroy Tokyo.

Perspective prevents panic

That progress was temporary. Today, we panic after a glamorous spokes-model breathlessly says some people died from the flu. We are never told about the size of previous epidemics or of last year’s flu. We see government officials being chastised for not wearing a mask. What we don’t see is the news media taking their masks off as soon as the broadcast ends. We see riots being called “peaceful protest”. What we’re not shown is the armed security team hired to protect the camera crews. We are never shown how small the protest really is.

The media feeds us a distorted view of the world. We’re looking at the world through a media microscope, yet we think that the images we’re shown are representative of the world around us.

We have our weaknesses. We don’t know what to do when we face a complex problem armed with contradictory information. We want to feel effective and in control so we do everything we can, even if those actions are ineffective. We feel hyper responsible if we lock our doors, wipe every surface with bleach, and wear a mask as we take a shower four times a day. We think we are sophisticated, intelligent, and informed, yet our actions are the very definition of superstition.

We were not meant to live that way, and it plays to our weaknesses. The cell phone in our pocket lets us live in an ocean of facts. It is easy to search for the facts that fit your current perspective without ever looking for facts that contradict your favorite beliefs. The antidote is to read widely and look for contradictions.

Gather more facts

It is easy to believe that we’re in the middle of a race war, yet I see a peaceful scene as I walk down mainstreet in town after town. It is easy to think that police are out of control, yet the officers I meet are as responsible as they could be. It is easy to believe that the economic situation is hopeless, yet I see help wanted signs everywhere I go. So do you if you lift your head out of your phone.

Context puts facts in perspective. Are you going to believe the microscope in your pocket, or are you going to believe your own experience? I favor my own observations above those of the media.

We’ve had economic downturns before. We’ve had waves of the flu before. We’ve been manipulated by the media and by politicians before.

We will come out of this stronger. We will develop an immunity to the flu and to the hysterical media. Give us time.

If I were offering a prescription, I’d say you’ll feel better soon. Turn off the TV, step out of the echochamber of social media, read a history book, and call me in the morning.

I gave you 700 words. Please share them with a friend. RM

What Should We Do When Government Bureaucrats Kill?

July 8, 2020

We saw armed police officers raid the wrong house and kill innocent people in their beds. That happened most recently in a home in Louisville, Kentucky. There, three undercover cops shot 26 year old Breonna Taylor to death during a midnight raid as she lay asleep. In this case, the police were at the wrong address and were seeking a criminal who’d been arrested earlier that day. The police then lied about their actions when they claimed they announced themselves as law enforcement officers before they broke down Taylor’s door. Law enforcement officers are routinely held legally harmless for their actions unless the law explicitly prohibits their mistakes. In response to this well publicized incident, we’ve seen a call to eliminate “no knock” raids, and further calls to eliminate or modify qualified immunity for police officers. That may be a good start, but it doesn’t go far enough.

There are several similar cases where innocent civilians were killed by police. We routinely kill or injure honest citizens after government officials abuse their authority. It is time we held government employees accountable for what they do, and for what they fail to do.

We’re in this situation because we passed too many bad laws. It seemed like a good idea at the time to allow honest police officers to make a small mistake during the pursuit of justice. That went too far until we hold cops harmless when they casually kill innocent people. What we fail to see is that many bureaucrats kill too. It never makes it into the news.

We passed laws so that honest citizens need permission to arm themselves. That may not seem like a problem to you, but it does to women who are stalked and abused. Sure, these women take out restraining orders, but the police will not be there in time to stop an attack. These vulnerable victims need a defensive tool to protect themselves from a larger and more powerful attacker until police arrive. These victims need that tool right now and they need it everywhere they go. It is a matter of life and death.

The tragic fact is that victims of domestic abuse have been murdered while they waited for a bureaucrat to allow them to buy a gun. I wrote about one victim, Carol Bowne, here. These victims are not alone.

Bureaucrats will get back to you next year if you ask permission to buy a gun and keep it in your home in New York City. It may be years before bureaucrats tell you that your application to carry a firearm in public was denied. To the bureaucrat, the simple fact that you are still alive indicates that you didn’t really have a need for a firearm as a defensive tool in the first place. The bureaucrats ignore the people who hid in fear or were killed while they waited for the state to recognize their human right of self-defense. That is inhuman and unconscionable.

Today, many of us have sympathy for those victims because we found ourselves in a similar situation. During the Covid “epidemic”, we were told that bureaucrats couldn’t be bothered to process our government required permission slip to touch a gun in a gun store. Bureaucrats were too busy to process our permits to purchase a firearm and to bring the gun home with us. Some states stopped processing applications to carry a legal firearm in public. In the name of public safety, politicians closed shooting ranges and stopped gun-safety instruction for new gun owners.

I’m not buying it. We shouldn’t have to live unarmed, unprepared, and in fear due to a bureaucrat’s delay. It is true that a gun can’t stop you from being selected as a victim of crime: it can radically change the outcome of an attack.

That is why we should remove qualified immunity from the judges, law enforcement officials, and government bureaucrats who keep honest citizens disarmed. We routinely give bureaucrats a time-limit to process applications, and bureaucrats routinely ignore that limit. These government employee should be held liable when they disarm innocent people who are then defenseless when victimized. It is unconscionable to leave innocent people defenseless due to political delays and bureaucratic incompetence. We can fix this.

Removing qualified immunity would not make the victims whole again, but it might reduce their numbers by allowing more good people to protect themselves.

I gave you 700 words. Please share them with a friend and leave a comment. RM

Sources in the original article-

What Do You Do Now That You Bought Your Gun?

July 2, 2020

We learned some difficult truths in 2020-
We’ve been “flattening the curve” for fifteen weeks. We are also in the third week of “defunding the police”. We watched the news and saw situations that could pose an immediate, lethal, and unavoidable threat to ourselves or our family. Millions of us decided to buy a gun for personal protection. The great news is that millions of new gun owners acted responsibly. They found out that self-defense comes with homework. These new gun owners bought gun safes and also sought training. There is certainly a lot to learn, but if you’re a new gun owner, there is something you discovered in the process of buying your gun. You saw that politicians and the media lied to you about gun ownership.

-President Obama said it was as easier to buy a handgun than to buy a book or buy fresh vegetables, and that we could buy machine guns over the internet.
-Socialists politicians also said only the police should have guns.
-We saw known criminals wave guns around during riots while the police watched from a distance and did nothing.
-Socialists politicians disbanded the police and then hired private security to protect them at home and at work.

The real world isn’t like what we’re told on the news-
For many of us, buying a gun didn’t go the way we expected. Millions of new gun owners were shocked by the amount of paperwork required to legally buy a gun. We found out that the so called “instant” background check can take days or weeks. If their purchase was approved, these gun owners found out about state mandated waiting periods before they could take their gun home. Gun buyers also discovered that an inconsistent name or address on their driver’s license or on a utility bill meant that their purchase could be denied. Those are the problems we found if the system of gun control is working. In many states, honest people who wanted to buy a gun were simply turned away after the government refused to process firearms purchase requests.

It was easy for the average citizen to believe the lies about gun ownership until we experienced it for ourselves. Government officials from the US Supreme Court to local bureaucrats said they couldn’t be bothered with the right to keep and bear arms.

Politicians ignored the right of self-defense-
We saw politicians closed gun stores while they left liquor stores open. Politicians demanded that we get firearms owners identification cards and safety cards..and then refused to issue them. State and local governments stopped processing firearms purchase applications and concealed carry applications. Some states demanded a background check to buy ammunition, and then stopped processing those ammunition purchase authorizations. Politicians closed or limited the use of shooting ranges where new gun owners could learn to use firearms safely.

Criminals get illegal guns in minutes while bureaucrats deny the right of self defense to honest citizens.

Change the things you can-
Those political decisions didn’t happen on accident or by surprise. For years, some politicians told us they didn’t support the right of self defense. That is exactly the way they voted. Changing that is up to us.

First, tell your politicians about your experience of trying to own a gun. Ask them to fix the laws and public policies that denied you the ability to protect your family. You might not be completely familiar with your local gun laws, but there are state and local organizations who are. (Here are a few of them, and here are a few more.) If you wanted to know more about your local gun laws, you could ask a local firearms instructor for advice. If you write yourself a short note about what happened to you, then you can tell that story on the phone, by fax, and then send an e-mail to your representatives. Tell your local newspapers too, because what happened to you is news.

Replace the politicians who don’t represent you-
I wish that politicians would learn from your experience, but many politicians won’t change their attitude about armed defense. That means you’ll have to change the politicians you support and change the way you vote. Here is a list of local organizations that support the right to keep and bear arms. These groups know which local politicians voted against your right to own a gun.

Time and money creates change-
Work changes the results of elections. You might have to put your time and money to work if you want to get your rights back. That means volunteering to make calls and putting in the money to buy campaign signs. You also have to vote and ask your friends to vote.

You have four months to get your rights back. Please start now.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend. RM


The Elites Unmask Themselves- words versus actions during the epidemic

June 24, 2020

The number of daily deaths from Covid-19 peaked two months ago, yet the media turned their outrage up to 11. We were told that President Trump is dangerous, and so is the rest of the United States. We are irresponsible for leaving our houses during an “epidemic”, and President Trump is irresponsible for letting us. We were also told that we’d be safer without the police because of systemic racism. Here is a news flash for the talking heads. Your history of erroneous reporting means I don’t take advice from the media without a great deal of further research. Also, it isn’t the president’s decision what I do. It isn’t the media’s decision with whom I associate. This is the USA, where I am responsible for my actions and my mistakes. Thanks for your suggestions, but I don’t like what happened during our trial season of socialists control, and I’ll take my freedom back.

Before it sounds like I’m bragging about being all big and brave by leaving home and meeting with friends, look at what the politicians and the media did. For a minute, ignore what the media and politicians said on camera, and watch their actions off camera. They did the same thing that most of us are doing, except the politicians took private jets. They unmasked their true beliefs time after time.

The media didn’t stay home. If there ever were a job you could mail in, then it has to be the job of sending your picture and your voice to your boss. Today, millions of us do it 9 to 5.. except we don’t have a makeup artist. I get the same feeling from the media that I got from the weather reporter who was caught kneeling in a puddle to report a flood.

The media didn’t act the way they sounded. They didn’t follow the recommendations of the breathless experts they had on camera. The news crew’s face masks came off once the cameras were turned off. The most notable examples were where the mask-wearing media chastised the White House press spokesman for not wearing a mask. A minute later when the briefing was over, someone captured a cell phone picture of the media standing around talking to each other without their masks. The media outrage was an act; they never thought there was a risk of infection.

Another example was a man-in-the-street interview where the news reporter is wearing a mask and asking two people why they are not wearing theirs. The two interview subjects point at the camera, and say they are not wearing masks for the same reason the cameraman is not wearing one.

Democrat politicians gave us the same hypocrisy we saw in the news media. Democrat Governor  J. B. Pritzker of Illinois issued mandatory business closures, stay at home orders, and enforced social distancing by early April. Those are the rules for us common citizens, but the governor flew his family to Florida for a vacation. Some stay at home orders are more equal than others.

Business were closed in Illinois. The Mayor of Chicago flooded churches with police officers when the churches tried to open. Mayor Lori Lightfoot went to get her hair cut because she is the mayor and you are not. Some that serve politicians are essential, while the businesses that we use are deemed non-essential.

Not to be bested in the hypocrisy race, the Democrat Mayor Bill De Blasio of New York City went to the gym and got his haircut. The mayor even sent his daughter out to protest the death of George Floyd. The Mayor’s daughter was arrested for stopping traffic on Broadway. Social contact tracers were explicitly told not to ask if people who came down with flu like symptoms had attended political protests. Some sources of disease are politically acceptable, while others are not.

The Mayor then threatened to permanently close any churches that tried to open in New York City. Some social gatherings are more equal than others.

I also noticed that Democrat politicians didn’t run to countries with socialized medicine when they got sick. They didn’t fly to Venezuela or Mexico. Not to Cuba or even Canada. Socialized medicine is a source of political kickbacks for politicians, but it isn’t something these same politicians want to use when they or their family are actually ill. They stayed in the USA where we have private healthcare. They stayed here, ordered take-out, and shouted, “Orange Man Bad!”

It is easier to speak a lie than to live it.
Watch what the elites do, not what they say.

Maybe the elites got what they wanted by forcing us to live under a temporary socialist dictatorship.  From what I’ve seen, I don’t like it at all. Neither do you, and the elites don’t bother to live by the rules they advocate for the rest of us.

The elites might arrest me, but they can’t control us unless we let them.

2020- The Year We Were Played

June 18, 2020

The chinese called it the year of the rat, but so far, 2020 has been the year of the manipulated citizen. Politicians and the legacy media have been spinning the news to an amazing degree. We were sold the Wuhan flu epidemic. With an interlude for Murder Hornets, we were sold that systematic racism in the USA gave rise to spontaneous riots. Instead of swallowing the political narrative of the week, let’s dig a little deeper and see what truths we can uncover.

The flu, the whole flu, and nothing but the flu- Politicians in deep blue states said they would enforce mandatory lockdowns and social isolation until we had a vaccine for the Wuhan flu. Public health was the excuse. In contrast, we see that the fraction of us who died from the Wuhan flu are highest in deep blue states. We conducted an inadvertent epidemiological experiment on cruise ships, on naval vessels, and in college dorms. One college closed, but had to retain 1200 college students who couldn’t go home. They finished the academic year from their dorms. They ended the year without an active case of the Wuhan flu. The rate of infection and death were far lower than the US CDC projected.

We also learned that socialized medicine is horrible. Most of the deaths from the Wuhan flu were in the New York metropolitan area. Patients who had been critically ill with the virus were sent to convalescent homes to recover while the patient was still sick and spreading the virus. Convalescent homes also house elderly people who have chronic illness and require long term care. In short, New York public health officials put some of the most contagious patients among the most vulnerable population. That failure ranks with white settlers giving blankets infected with smallpox to native americans. New York and New Jersey politicians blamed the virus for their mistakes, and the media let them.

Recently, we have state funded “contact tracers” in New York who want to know your personal contacts if you come down with the flu. These contact tracers are explicitly told not to ask if the sick person was at a public demonstration. Politicians and their legacy media called Trump rallies a needlessly dangerous sources of infection. In contrast, riots and looting were called healthy expressions of political opinion. Some demonstrations are more equal than others.

San Francisco has horrible public health conditions with widespread homelessness and drug use. It was easier for California politicians to put the law-abiding population into lockdown than to reverse decades of bad public health practices and clean up their streets.

In early 2021 when the numbers are in, the epidemiologists might conclude that the Wuhan flu was simply a difficult strain of the flu. We learned that politicians will never let an “epidemic” go to waste, even if they have to create one.

Racism is horrible..until politicians need it- The media and politicians weren’t done with us. A policeman in Minneapolis used horrible police practice and killed a black man. Peaceful protests were quickly taken over by looting and riots. These rioters soon killed more innocent black shop owners in a few days of “protests” than the police have killed all year. We’ve seen honest black law enforcement officers murdered by thugs, but not all black lives matter. We were exposed to the horrible sight of black men and women being beaten as they begged the looters not to set fire to the store because people lived on the second floor above the store.

We were told that cities which have been under democrats/socialists control for generations were suddenly suffering from systematic racism. I think these cities were suffering from the bad public policy their citizens voted into office. As one clear example, we saw Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot use the police to forcefully close churches, while the mayor simultaneously promoted large public protests that furthered her political aims. True to form, Chicago politicians put their political power before the public good.

The legacy media said these were spontaneous racial demonstrations.. where politically connected lawyers just happened to be handing out bricks and gasoline bombs. The media told us that Black Lives Matter was a trying to stop racism, but you’re called a racist is you say that all black lives matter, even black babies in the womb. To me, the BLM and AntiFa website read like a mashup of the communist and socialist political platforms. Those policies have certainly not helped black or poor people in the USA. Their claim that silence is violence sounds a lot like Orwell’s Big Brother claiming war is peace. The same socialists politicians who said that only the police should have guns then came out and told us to eliminate the police.

The more I learn, the more I see a political agenda behind the sound-bite solutions.

We saw socialist politicians blame Trump for the Wuhan flu. We saw socialist politicians destroy their local economy while claiming to act for public health. We saw politicians look on in envy as socialist thugs extorted businesses in their city using race as an excuse.

This is an election year, and we’re being emotionally manipulated by the media and politicians. Keep your sympathies in check until you know the relevant facts. Learn and speak the truth because November is five long months away.

Demands to the government of Seattle
BLM leaders on “reproductive justice”

Teaching New Gun Owners to Cheat and Survive

June 10, 2020

Gun sales year to year, November to April. From NICS and

2020 is unusual. We added millions of new gun owners each month. Gun ownership has been increasing, but this year is remarkable. We bought firearms when government failed. We saw the police withdraw because of an epidemic. We saw courts put criminals back on the streets. We saw government officials overwhelmed by protests, riots, looting, and arson. We realized that we are on our own to defend ourself and the people under our care. I’ve studied self defense for a few decades, and here are some unmentioned truths that new gun owners need to know. The truth is that grandma can survive a breakin and defend herself against three thugs. The secret ingredient in Granny’s self-defense is that she cheats. She didn’t fight fair. Neither should you. There are legal cheats that let the good guys survive.

The truth is that most people do a pretty good job at defending themselves without much training. The truth is that you are not a gunfighter. A gunfighter wins because of speed and accuracy. You are a defender, and you survive because the particular way you fight makes you hard to kill.

The truth is that crime happens all the time and everywhere. Of course, we want to stay away from a riot, but a third of us are violently attacked at home. The other two-thirds of violent attacks occur away from home. No place is absolutely safe, not at work, not at the store, and not as we travel. That is why you want your defensive tools with you all the time. Those tools include a firearm, a phone, and most importantly, the knowledge of how to use them. Your attackers expect an unarmed victim, but you cheated.

The truth is that you are not a TV action hero. You won’t be shooting multiple attackers as you slide across the floor. Let’s be honest. Without practice, you can barely load and unload the gun you just bought. You don’t know how to hold your gun or how to carry your gun, let alone how to shoot quickly and accurately. The great news is that you can fix most of that by talking to the people at the gun store where you bought your gun. Helping new gun owners is what they do for a living.

The truth is that you must be awake to defend yourself. That is why you lock your doors and windows. That way, the bad guys make noise as they try to get to you. You want an alarm. It can be an electronic alarm, or a dog, or both. Your dog is an alarm, but you are the defender. You need a plan that works when you’re only half-awake.

You survived an attack because you avoided a fair fight.

The truth is that people are irreplaceable. You want to leave the lights on in the center of your house. Let the thugs take your TV and your computer. Let them steal your bottles of booze. Hide your family behind you as they huddle in the far corner of a dark room. You survive because you shoot the bad guys as they come down your bedroom hallway with the light behind them. You survive because only a gun barrel and a small part of your face is exposed, but maybe the bad guys can’t even see that. You’re effectively invisible if you stay away from the door frame and stay hidden in shadows. You and your family survive an attack because you made the bad guys come to you. You survive because you can see them and they can’t see you. That said, you must see them so you don’t shoot your neighbor who is knocking at your door to tell you that thugs lit your fence on fire. Good guys identify their target before they shoot, and you want to be one of the good guys.

Hiding behind cover. Image from

The truth is that you call the police as soon as you’re threatened, but a gun in your hands beats a cop on the phone. You defend your family when you face an immediate, lethal, and unavoidable threat, and only then. Keep shooting until the threat is gone, and then stop shooting. That is how you are hard to kill and also hard to convict. You can’t win, but you can survive long enough to ask the police for help.

The truth is that a little bit of knowledge and practice makes you much safer. Make a security plan and walk through it with your family. Include a first aid kit in your supplies and learn emergency trauma care. A little thought and practice goes a long way.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with the people who need them.

Thank you to radio host Bill Frady for the inspiration for this article.

Being Horribly Wrong Doesn’t Affect Our Elites

June 3, 2020

I pay for my mistakes. That is why I try so hard to learn from them. It is too expensive to make the same mistakes over and over, unless you’re a member of the elites. A medical model of the flu was wrong and our elites put 20 million people out of work in the USA. Democrat mayors with a democrat police chief failed to train and discipline their police officers, so a black man was murdered. That was wrong, and people protested. Then, those protests were taken over by antifa thugs who wanted to destroy businesses as a political statement. Some mayors and governors stopped that lawless violence, but other politicians let the riots continue. The media fanned the flames of the false narrative. None of the elites paid a price for being so wrong. We paid the price.

Today, we need to be smart enough to sort truth from lies. The good news is that we can, but it isn’t easy.

The 2020 flu-
Politicians made horrible decisions in the case of the Wuhan flu. Mask were essential, then mask were useless, then masks were the latest sign of virtue signalling. Politicians released violent prisoners to keep them “safe”, and then the same politicians put business owners in jail because they opened their shops without a government permission slip. Ham-fisted politicians increased the unemployment rate almost ten-fold and ignored the number of lives that cost us. We paid the price for their mistakes.

Protesters who objected to this government overreach were fined for carrying signs in public. Gay bars were “essential businesses”, but churches were not. Neighbors called the cops after seeing a plumber’s truck in front of their neighbor’s house. Cops were called to verify that there was a leaking toilet. That self-righteous indignation gives me the shivers.

The definition of socialism is that the government controls business and public activity. We just had our free 90-day trial of Socialist control. People who said they were “pro-choice” showed themselves to be intolerant of diversity. We sold our freedom for security when we faced a bad case of the flu.

Looking at the number of people who die each year from of the flu was our first clue that this was never a dangerous epidemic. So were the number of Covid deaths in Japan and Sweden where both countries refused to establish a lockdown. That data was out there after the first weeks for everyone to see. This “epidemic” was, and remains, a disaster caused by politicians acting badly and a news media selling sensationalism.

The murder of innocent men and women by the police-
Police unions have immense power. That is particularly true in our large democrat-controlled cities. As an obscene example, a police officer was suspended after he refused to act during an armed attack on a Florida high school. That officer was reinstated on the force, along with receiving back pay.

Recently, a Minneapolis police officer kneeled on George Floyd’s neck until Floyd died. That police officer had a long history of complaints filed against him. The police chief, the district attorney, and even the county attorney didn’t press charges and have the officer retrained or removed. They did the politically easy thing rather than doing the right thing. Our sad history shows us that these politicians are not alone.

The cops I know are awesome, but not all of them are. There is also a long list of innocent people who were injured or killed by the police. Finally and fortunately, Judge Clarence Thomas, a brilliant black man who sits on the US Supreme Court, said it was time to reexamine the statute of qualified immunity that keeps officers and politicians from being charged for official misconduct. Thank you, Judge Thomas! The death of George Floyd might be the catalyst for change that is both needed and overdue. Politicians and police unions oppose it.

The riots must go on-
Honest citizens were outraged by Floyd’s death. They protested in cities across the country. They deserve our thanks. Those protests were diverted by other organizations for their own ends. Black Lives Matter and Antifa turned protests into riots and looting. They delivered bricks to the scene of the riots. Lawyers from New York delivered molotov bombs to rioters. Sincere protesters became pawns. Their cause was used by the political and media elites.

Some politicians and news commentators said that riots were desirable. Those riots killed black store owners. Looting destroyed the future of many more black business owners. Note that politicians, academics, and the news didn’t lose their homes or their businesses to looters.

Our elites said the riots were unavoidable, but some responsible communities not only avoided them, but stopped them when they started. You have to read past the headlines to find their stories, but some communities protected their police, protected their stores, and threw Antifa out of town. That news doesn’t fit the story they want to sell, so CNN hardly covered it. Read deeper to find the truth.

Note that Hollywood celebrities, as well as staffers from the Biden campaign, put up bail money for people who were arrested during the riots. In contrast, the business owners who lost their stores to looters were supported by individual go-fund-me campaigns.. and by staffers from the Trump organization. That tells me who is willing to invest in our community, and who needs violence to fit their political narrative. Study the political situation and come to your own conclusions.

It looks like Democrats and the elites need to blame violence on Trump. Democrat politicians said the ongoing “epidemic” was too severe to allow business owners back into their stores, but not so severe to stop riots. Those politicians said that police were outnumbered so there was nothing they could do to stop looting and arson. Then, the same politicians told us to call the police rather than defend ourselves.

We’ve paid enough. Don’t sacrifice your future to their story.

If we read past the headlines then we can detect self-serving lies. We can and should shame our elites when they lie to us. We have to hold politicians and the media accountable because they won’t do it themselves.

I gave you 1000 words. Please share them with a friend.

Facts and Perspective on the Pandemic of 2020

May 28, 2020

We think our models of the world are more real than the world itself. That tendency is understandable since we can experiment with our simple models, while the real world is awash in complexity. We ignore what we don’t know. We shut down civilization because a model of the coronavirus said we were in danger. The facts matter, but we need more than facts and figures and the lastest models to feel safe again.

Are we at risk from Covid-19? Putting facts into perspective lets us see the relative size and distance of our concerns. We can compare the virus to other infections, to other risks we face, and compare the risks in our state versus other states. The first thing to notice is that we are not all the same.

One third of Covid deaths are in the green area, one third are in the yellow area, and one third are in the red area.

We’ve long been told that diversity is our strength. That is true in the case of this pandemic because we can see that a few states contain almost all the deaths from Covid-19. Even that statement hides how concentrated the fatalities really are. New York state has the most covid deaths. Even then, it is really New York City rather than upstate New York. Within the city, there are a few nursing homes that provided long-term care where the disease killed significant numbers. We see the unusual death toll in New York City because New York government demanded that patients discharged from the hospital with Covid-19 had to go to state-supported nursing homes to recover from the virus. Covid patients were sent to live with elderly people living in nursing homes even though the new patients were still contagious and shedding the virus. Other states did not do that, and that difference saved tens-of-thousands of lives across the country.

Before we can evaluate the danger of Covid-19, we have to ask if we will deliberately put old people into a dangerous setting. Decisions like that make over a 50-fold difference in the results. That isn’t a model, that is observation.

Best and Worst States for Covid-19

Covid-19 is now projected to kill about a hundred-and-thirty thousand people in the US this year. That sounds like a disaster, and it is about one-fifteenth of all the people we expect to die in the US this year from all causes. To put that projection into perspective, 130 thousand lives are about twice the number of people who died from the flu over the winter of 2017-2018. It is certainly worth our attention, but not the end of the world anymore than the flu was the end of the world two years ago.

We’ve seen diseases like Covid-19 before. SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) was also a coronavirus. We developed a vaccine for SARS over a decade ago, but SARS disappeared before the vaccine could begin clinical trials. We are again seeing similar behavior from Covid-19.


One well established theory says that about 60 to 70 percent of us have to be immune to the flu before the disease dies out. One problem with that theory is that we haven’t all had Covid-19 and yet we’re seeing a sudden drop in new cases. Now that we’re six weeks past the peak, have we suddenly become that much more diligent at washing our hands?

We observe that about 17 percent of us may have been exposed to the virus, and yet it is dying out as if we already reached herd immunity. Those are the results from antibody tests taken across the country. One untested theory is that many of us, if not most of us, have a natural immunity to Covid-19. Our immune system, particularly our T-cells, remember similar coronaviruses even if we don’t have the antibodies for this years virus. That is only a theory, but epidemiologists are struggling to explain what is protecting many of us from getting the virus as the rate of new Covid-19 infections falls so fast. You might not have heard about that epidemiological puzzle because good news doesn’t sell newspapers.

Here in the USA, it looks like Covid-19 will kill about 4-people-in-ten-thousand. Some places have been much worse and some have been much better. No matter where we live, we want to take care of those who are at an elevated risk, but there are greater dangers out there.

Whether you find that comforting or troubling remains up to you.

I gave you 600 words. Please share them with a friend. The original article is here. RM

Covid Death Rates by State as of 25 May, 2020- RM

Albany Can’t Save You from the Flu

May 25, 2020

Politicians can do two things; they can arrest us and they can spend our money. Neither of those measures will save us from Covid-19. You can be safe, but only you can do that, not your mayor and not your governor.

The problem is not one of intelligence or wealth. The problem is about your unique personal information. The politician’s can’t know you and what you need. Albany can’t save you, and neither can Trenton, or Hartford, or Lansing or Boston.

To start, the governor’s public-health decrees don’t take account of how old you are. For young people in good health, the Wuhan flu is simply..the flu. Not so if you’re over 70 years of age and have serious chronic illnesses. The governor can’t know your family situation. If you’re a young family with kids, then you should be at the playground having fun. College students should be at the beach. Some of you will get the flu, just as you did last year and just as you will next year. I’m sorry you missed a few days of vacation with the sniffles, but that is life and you’ll get over it.

That isn’t true if you are taking care of elderly relatives with health issues. In that case, you might want to stay home, have your food delivered, and watch bad television for a few more weeks.

While staying home might be a good solution for you, it is a death sentence for someone waiting for cancer treatment. Let us go because lives are at stake. We need different solutions for different people.

The governor’s orders don’t take into account the rate of infection in your local community. One third of the deaths from Covid-19 for the entire USA are in the New York City area. Meanwhile, many counties are waiting for their first confirmed fatality.

One third of deaths in green, one third in yellow, and one third in red

The personal safety measures that work for you might not work for New York City,
and what works for New York City has devastated the rest of the USA.

We saw the New York City government put seriously ill people who had the virus into nursing homes along with elderly patients. The results were deadly. We had governors shut down their entire state, and we’re still learning how bad that was as rates of addiction and suicide grew six fold.

We asked government to solve a problem that was beyond them,
and politicians didn’t have the humility to admit it.

Your mayor is issuing decrees so he looks good in front of the TV cameras and so he looks good in front of the political bosses at the state capital. That is what politicians do. The governor is thinking about his political future, not about your future and your family’s future.

The politicians’ universal solution is to hand out money and tell you to stay home,
even if that solution doesn’t fit you at all.


I have a different universal solution for Covid-19 and it has proven both safe and effective in real-world tests. Wash your hands and avoid large crowds in confined spaces. Beyond that, think about the problem and do what works best for your situation. Maybe you should go back to work or maybe you should stay home. You make the call.

We will adapt. Maybe we will change our routines. For instance, a parish might make the first religious services on Sunday the designated “old-folks mass.” Lots of churches already have hand-sanitizer next to the holy-water font. Instead of reading from a hymnal, people can read along on their phones.

I don’t know every solution, but you are much smarter than I am. You always were. We need you to remembered that. I trust and respect your judgement more than the decisions of a politician.

To the politicians I say, get the hell out of our way.

I gave you 700 words. Please share them and leave a comment. RM


Repost- There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm – William M. Briggs

May 22, 2020

From W M Briggs, here are the statistics the legacy media didn’t show you. RM

“..we cannot conclude that lockdowns worked.

“..What politician anywhere will cop to ruining their economy and the lives of millions of their citizens? Who can say “Ah, it was only a few trillion”? This will not happen. It just won’t. All politicians will and much go on repeating that their lockdowns “saved lives”.

Source: There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm – William M. Briggs

Should you be a slave to my fears?

May 21, 2020

Is it your fault that I’m afraid? Maybe it is your duty to do what I say until I feel better. Your rights end where my feelings begin, and I’m afraid of a virus and I’m afraid of freedom. That is why you have to do what I tell you to do. Or not.

Should you be a slave to my fears?

This so called “epidemic” is a wakeup call. More people will die from addictions and suicide than from Covid-19. Are we going to let someone take our freedom? We’re giving up the freedom to earn a living. The freedom to travel. The freedom to worship. We’ve given up the freedom to assemble and petition our government.

We’re willing to give up our freedom over the common cold, over the flu that will kill one out of two thousand of us, while other causes kill 15 times more of us every year.

This is our fault. We didn’t pay attention when our mayor was elected, and now he ordered us to stay home. We didn’t pay attention when our country board was elected, when our sheriff was elected, when our school board was elected. We didn’t ask the right questions when our state representatives, our governor, our federal legislators, and our president were elected. We didn’t do the work then, so now we have to get up and call them and demand our freedom back.

We didn’t do the work, so now we have to protest and contribute
to the legal organizations who are fighting for our freedom..
or we won’t have any.

We never agreed to slavery. We went from flatten the curve, to social distancing, to until we have a vaccine. We were told that the new normal is where abortion centers are open, and churches are ordered shut down and we should report our neighbors. We went from releasing violent criminals from jail, to jailing manicurists and barbers who see one client at a time.

That is socialism. That is fascism, and here is the cure.

Stop asking for permission. The strength of the american people is that we lead the way and make the politicians follow us, not the other way around. We’ll show the politicos when it is safe for them to come out of their safe spaces. They can follow our example.

I will not be a politician’s slave,
even if the politician is wearing a white lab coat and a surgeon’s mask.

There is no evidence that house arrest saves lives. None. There is a theory, but there is no data to support it. In fact, there is strong data against house arrest. Look at the experience of Sweden and Japan. Neither country enforced a lockdown. When we look at the severity of the illness, the US is worse than Japan and slightly better than Sweden. If we take out the New York metropolitan area, then the US infection rate moves closer to Japan.

That lesson is clear; don’t be like New York and move infectious people into nursing homes.
Don’t stay stuck on stupid.

It is your life and living it is up to you. Stay at home if you want, but you are not my slave and I am not a slave to your fears.

It is past time we acted like it.

I gave you my best 500 words. Use them as you see fit. RM

The Lies the Legacy Media Will Tell Us

May 20, 2020

The legacy media lies. They lie to us in order to manipulate our opinion and to make more money from their advertisers. Those facts aren’t news. It doesn’t take much imagination to write the “epidemic” headlines that are headed our way.

-Every death in a bad red state is caused by Covid-19 and “poor political decisions,”
but every death in a good blue state is because “Orange-Man-Bad.”

–Politicians who hand out government money to their special interest voting blocs are
“acting with compassion during an emergency”,
but the politicians who open their state so people can earn a living are
“risking people’s lives as they sold out to greedy business interests”.

-Grocery stores are “selflessly serving the public” by being open,
but a priest, pastor, or rabbi is “needlessly putting people at risk” by opening his church.

-A politician is “sensitive to risk” when he empties the jails and the prisons,
but an honest citizen is “responding to unjustified panic” when he buys a firearm to defend his family.

-Protesters are “radical and threatening” when they petition to rescind the
government imposed house arrest,
but anti-gun politicians are “expressing concern for the public” when they
threaten to shoot people who don’t wear a mask.

-People die of Covid-19 because politicians have “blood on their hands”,
but people who die of the seasonal flu and suicide are.. invisible.

-You are “spreading distrust of our institutions” when you study and question government officials,
but you’re “responsibly informed” when you believe the legacy media on TV.

-Politicians are “implementing creative solutions”..
when they impose social controls before testing if their decrees actually work,
but patients who want to try novel dietary and medical treatments are “acting on superstition.”

-Politicians who threaten to jail shop owners and arrest people walking alone on the beach are
“bravely protecting public health”,
but the people demanding their freedom are showing a “slavish adherence to the constitution.”

-On average, 7,700 of us die from natural causes every day in the US, but we’d have lived forever if we’d only voted for Hillary in the last election.

The lies of the mainstream media are entirely predictable, so anticipating their stories isn’t hard. At least the legacy media could come up with more creative lies.

Please ask yourself this question- Are you watching Mr. Prettyface and Ms. Prettyface on the news in order to learn something and then act on that knowledge, or are you watching for amusement?

Spend your time, don’t waste it.

I gave you 400 words that I thought were a good use of your time. Please share them with a friend if you agree, or leave a comment if you disagree. RM

Michigan barber defying Gov. Whitmer’s coronavirus shutdown has license stripped | Fox News

May 14, 2020

The power to regulate is the power to destroy lives. RM

A Michigan barber who reopened his shop in defiance of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s coronavirus shutdown orders had his license temporarily stripped Wednesday.

Source: Michigan barber defying Gov. Whitmer’s coronavirus shutdown has license stripped | Fox News

Did Shelter in Place Save Lives or Cost Them?

May 14, 2020

Covid-19 might kill 100 thousand of us in the US, but maybe not. We still have hope that it will kill far fewer. What we do know is that putting 200 million people under a relaxed house-arrest costs lives too. We have to ask if shelter-in-place saved lives or cost them. Who gets to decide that more young addicts committing suicide was worth it in order to have fewer old people die in nursing homes?

You want us to do what?
The entire discussion rests on shifting definitions. At first, we were told to “flatten the curve”, and that made sense. The mortality rate from the virus and from every other disease would skyrocket if our hospitals were overwhelmed and couldn’t take new patients. Fortunately, we flattened the curve really well. Once our medical facilities had some breathing room, then shelter in place didn’t save lives.

That is when some politicians announced that we needed to keep the disease from spreading. Diseases like this coronavirus are not easily contained. They spread as easily as the common cold, since many cold viruses are also coronaviruses. Did those orders serve a public health goal, or were they serving a political goal of putting the politicians in front of the news cameras? There isn’t data that they saved lives.

Died with the virus or because of the virus?
To make the entire question harder to understand, we also starting fudging the numbers. You might already know that many men die with prostate cancer, but not from prostate cancer. It is unclear how we should record it when a person who has several diseases and only a few years left to live dies with the coronavirus. Some deaths were recorded as being from the novel coronavirus while the patient could also have died from the seasonal flu which caused similar symptoms. The early numbers have large error-bars and overcounted the lethality of Covid-19.

We made the illness worse.
We’ve seen some very strange information coming from New York City. One bad practice was to move seriously ill patients with the virus to nursing homes to recover. These patients no longer needed critical care in a hospital, but they remained infectious. Many residents of these nursing homes are elderly people who are very vulnerable to the virus. That may explain the unusually high number of deaths that we saw among old people in New York city while we didn’t see that rate of lethality in other cities.

There are other medical costs.
Telling a hundred million people to stay home has secondary effects that go way beyond toilet paper. We told people with serious health problems to avoid medical treatment so we could make room for the flood of Covid patients. That flood never came. Instead, we had people die of heart failure or of cancer while they waited for medical treatment. Treating the entire USA the way we treated New York City was a mistake.

Does social distancing save lives?
It isn’t clear that mandated social distancing and shutting down schools and businesses actually saved lives. Sweden and South Dakota never issued stay-at-home orders. Their rates of infection were not much different from other states. Some were better, and some were worse. Japan had extraordinary success by isolating their vulnerable population and issuing voluntary health recommendations.

Two States of Being- Matt Bracken

It is hard to measure the benefits of forced isolation.
It is relatively easy to estimate the cost.

Isolation is dangerous.
There are a number of other fragile populations that politicians put at risk with lockdowns. As of yet, we don’t know the cost in human lives. We kept mental health patients from seeing their therapists. We kept addicts from attending their support meetings. We know that a regular schedule helps people keep their life on an even keel. Feeling useful at your job helps you feel like your life matters. People adapt, and therapists and addicts developed schemes to work around the edicts for social distancing. We don’t know how many more people relapsed or committed suicide because stay-at-home orders removed their support network. We do know that we made more addicts and more suicides.

The human cost of unemployment
Politicians put 15 million people out of work. That increased the unemployment rate by 8.2 percent. Earlier, we’ve seen the opioid death rate increase by 3.6 percent for each percent increase in the unemployment rate. We had about 114 thousand people die in 2018 from drug overdose and suicides. That number increases to about 192 thousand when we include deaths due to alcohol. If deaths due to alcohol abuse and suicide are as sensitive to unemployment as drug overdose deaths, then government mandated lockdowns might have killed an additional 57 thousand people. We’re not sure yet, and I hope it is less. Far less.

That doesn’t mean that mandatory stay at home orders failed. It means we have to see about a 40 percent reduction in the rate of death due to Covid-19 after states and counties impose lockdowns, or else the stay at home orders could cost more lives than they saved. We’re not seeing that sort of reduction in illness yet.

risks on both sides

Other people with a sharper pencil will generate more accurate numbers than I have. This quick glance is enough to know us we have to be careful. Putting people into social isolation costs lives and is only justified once we have evidence it actually reduces deaths from Covid-19.

Until we have that evidence, shelter-in-place orders are political theater.

The original article is posted here with sources.
I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend and leave a comment. RM


This Isn’t a Public Health Problem

May 11, 2020

We were told that the police have to force us to behave certain ways because of a public health emergency. That doesn’t make sense. The actions of our politicians don’t match their words.


  • If cops who are not wearing a mask, arrest you for not wearing a mask, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If we release violent criminals from jail, and then jail peaceful shop owners, then this isn’t a public health problem.

    Salon owner Shelley Luther. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
  • If you’re standing alone and cops gather around you to arrest you for not social distancing, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If police threaten to give tickets to a husband and wife because they are sitting next to each other in public, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If police ticket couples who are driving together during a mandatory lockdown, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If you can walk on the beach, but you’ll get arrested for sitting down on the beach, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If you can walk on the beach, but can’t swim alone, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If you can go to the beach, but you can’t fish from the shore, then this isn’t a public health problem.

Navy Chief defies restrictions

  • If churches are closed but abortion centers are open, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If people die of preventable causes because we shut down our hospitals, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If the liquor store clerk can serve thousands of people a day, but you can’t open your business for a few dozen customers, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If golf courses are open, but shooting ranges are closed, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If the grocery clerk can see over a thousand people a day, but your priest can only have 9 other people his his church, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If the court is open for marriage or divorce, but not to renew your concealed carry permit, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If counties who shelter in place have the same death rate as counties who don’t, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If we treat counties that have never seen a death from Covid-19 the same way we treat New York City, then this isn’t a public health problem.

    One third of Covid deaths in green, one third in yellow, and one third in red

  • If politicians send sick people back to nursing homes, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If politicians demand help, and then refuse to use emergency hospitals staffed by volunteers, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If you’re told to socially isolate even after you’ve had covid-19 and are now immune from it, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If politicians say we shouldn’t jail people for disobeying the regulations that the politician just wrote, then this isn’t a public health problem.
  • If politicians go to the gym, go get their hair cut, and go to a nail salon, but you can’t, then this isn’t a public health problem.

    Back-alley haircut

We have a political problem during an epidemic, but not because of the epidemic. Politicians want to control you. Please get off the couch and solve it, or we won’t have a country by the November elections.

Give your elected representatives a call today, and demand your freedom.

Let us go.

I gave you 500 words. Please share them with a friend and leave a comment. RM

Repost- Why Did We Treat Coronavirus So Differently Than Other Epidemics? | Ricochet

May 9, 2020

“There was never any evidence that lockdowns reduced overall death rates, and now that we have some experience, it is becoming clear that lockdowns at best change only the timing of fatalities.

“A recent study looked at how soon states went into lockdown after reaching the threshold of one death per million. Although lockdowns are still touted by the “experts,” the data clearly showed that whether states locked down early, late, or not at all had no effect on death rates.

“Fortunately, as Sweden is demonstrating to the world, certain characteristics of the coronavirus render it vulnerable to herd immunity. Most people that develop immunity don’t get that sick, vulnerable populations are easily identified, and the others are almost totally protected.”

 Source: Why Did We Treat Coronavirus So Differently Than Other Epidemics?  |  Ricochet

Your Business is Essential

May 6, 2020

What the hell is an essential job and an essential business? Who is more essential, the cop, or the kid in the mall-kiosk who who fixes my phone? Fortunately, that decision shouldn’t be up to a politician or a judge. It should be up to you.. every day.

We want meat and fish in the grocery stores, so we make meat processors essential. We can’t get our steaks because we need to have the test kits that prove our meat was cut and processed under sanitary conditions. Now we make the test-kit manufacturers essential. We still can’t get meat because we ran out of plastic wrap and foam trays. Now we make packaging manufacturers essential too. Soon, you can’t get meat because we need printed paper labels, bottles of ink, and automated label printers. Now the paper, laminating, and printing industries are essential. Accountants, bookkeepers, buyers and billing clerks are essential so that those materials move into and out of firms.

Do you know how many chemicals are in an ink-formulation,
and all of them are all essential or your kids don’t get their fish or sausages.

Let me go at this from another perspective. Plastic surgeons inject botox, and that seem like an optional medical procedure. Plastic surgeons also repair the stumps of amputated limbs, and I’d call that pretty damn essential. So would you if you have any imagination and empathy. Everyone is essential, from the shoemaker to the gal selling magazines and newspapers.

A politician is the last person we’d want to decide who gets arrested for breaking quarantine.

Let my people go.

I gave you 200 words. Please share them with a friend. RM

Which “New Normal” do You Mean?

May 6, 2020

The good news is that most of us are headed back to work. Unfortunately, we’ve seen too many new things during quarantine to be sure about our new “normal”.  We’ve seen citizens and politicians behave horribly. The new normal isn’t about wearing a surgical mask in public. I’m worried that our new normal is about accepting political domination.

Maybe we should accept social distancing for a few more months, but maybe not. A friend corrected me and said,

“Been there and had that. Now, I can’t get it and can’t spread it, so leave me the hell alone.”

My friend is correct. Social-distancing rules should not apply to him, as they should not apply to more and more of us each day. Is wearing a mask and social distancing something we do to appease paranoid people who are afraid of germs and want to control us with their fear? That isn’t healthy. Someone who suffers from mysophobia doesn’t need me to wear a mask; they need to see a psychiatrist. Crazy shouldn’t be the new normal.

I hope the new normal isn’t snitching on other families because they don’t cower in their homes. I hope the new normal isn’t making allegations against competing businesses or your employer. Sadly, we’ve seen the police shut down business at any time and for any reason while taking the owner’s business license. Where quarantine was once an excuse, it won’t be long until political payoffs become the underlying reason.

Been there. Seen that.

We’ve seen agents from Child Protective Services exceed their authority even before the outbreak of coronavirus. Now, CPS can take away your kids because you’re not schooling them “properly” or not wearing a mask and washing hands with the frequency the bureaucrat likes. Are you wealthy enough to protect your family from the state?

In case you think I’m joking, remember that a Texas judge put a business owner in jail because she wouldn’t say she was sorry for opening her business and putting her unemployed hairdressers back to work. Beyond a fine, the salon owner got seven days in jail because she wouldn’t bend a knee to the cops and judges.

I suspect that the judge’s behavior strikes you as tyrannical. The reason I think I’m not alone in being disgusted by the sentence is that the Go-Fund-Me account to pay the business owner’s 7-thousand dollar fine had 140 thousand dollars in donations. That says a lot of us don’t like that “new normal”. After she pays her employees, maybe the salon owner should use the extra money to run for public office.

The real casualty of the quarantine is in our diminished level of trust in public institutions.

After what we’ve seen, we can’t trust our politicians to be reasonable. We can’t trust police to show discretion, not after they arrested a state highway patrol officer for going to an empty park with his daughter. We saw police issue tickets after a husband and wife sat next to each other in public, or went on an “unnecessary” trip to get out of the house. We saw the police activate the beach patrol and motor boats to stop someone from swimming alone in the ocean.

That cure is worse than the disease. These public officials broke the public trust. They showed themselves to be bullies at best, and tyrants at worst.

You might say ‘we have to isolate to stay safe,’ to which I say ‘no.’ No, we don’t. We have to limit our social contacts only enough so our hospitals are not overwhelmed.. and not one bit more.

Any location where the respiratory treatment center in the hospital isn’t overloaded
has no justification for imposing a quarantine on healthy people. None.

There is no excuse for it. Some politicians, police chiefs, sheriffs and LEOs are hiding their lust for power behind a surgeon’s mask.

We can see them for what they are.

I gave you 600 words. Please comment and leave me a few of your own. RM



Repost- Chicago Residents Tear Down Fences To Get Into Locked Down City Parks

April 30, 2020

“This is what freedom looks like, tearing down fences but still staying safe. Chicago residents proved they can be trusted with that freedom.”

Source: Chicago Residents Tear Down Fences To Get Into Locked Down City Parks

Coronavirus and Politics- a disease of the haves and the have nots

April 30, 2020

My friends are out of work. One of my friends had to terminate hundreds of her employees and give them their last paycheck. Politicians turned the flu into a political weapon. Now, small business owners face bankruptcy if they stay home, or jail if they open their shops. Thousands of us in fly-over country are paying with our lives because people in New York City want to live shoulder-to-shoulder. Coronavirus and politics is a disease of the haves versus the have nots.

There are 8.5 million people living in the five boroughs of New York City. Covid-19 is seldom fatal, and only two New York City residents out of a thousand have died from it. Almost all of those victims had other pre existing illnesses like obesity, diabetes, heart disease, high blood pressure, emphysema, or another chronic lung disease. Most of the people who died in New York City of Covid-19 had not one, but two of those illnesses before they got the coronavirus of 2019.

In response, congressional democrats firmly represented the special interests who elected them and filled the virus relief package with pork. This is another “You have to pass it to find out what’s in it.” moment from Nancy Pelosi. We saw politics as usual, including the quarantine orders. We shut down the USA to make New York City feel better about their lifestyle choices.

My friends out here in flyover country have bills to pay and lives to live. Moms are being arrested for taking their kids to an empty park while Barack Obama plays golf during the quarantine. Politicians who have a year’s worth of ice cream in their freezer, and hundreds of millions of dollars in the bank, say we should stay home. We should stay unemployed while China buys our food producers and our oilfields. Democrat politicians say we had to kill you in order to save you from a virus that will kill two-out-of-ten-thousand of us.

That is our choice to make, not theirs.

The Covid-19 virus is about twice as dangerous as the ordinary flu since the flu usually kills one out of ten thousand of us each year. For perspective, so does suicide, or at least that was the old suicide rate until politicians increased unemployment tenfold.

I predict that when we add it all up, the political cure will be worse than the medical disease and I hope that I am wrong.

Politicians and the news media are acting for their interests. The news media tells us that we are in danger so we’ll watch their next advertisement. Politicians say that they will save us from the long as we stay home and become dependent on them.

Don’t take this lying down. Call your political representatives and demand your freedom. Do what is best for you, not what is best for them. New York City will have to wipe its own nose this time.

I gave you 500 words. Please share them with a friend, and leave a few words of your own as a comment. RM
The original article with sources is here.

The Flu-Season of Our Discontent- Epidemic or Common Cold?

April 27, 2020

The latest predictions say Covid-19 will kill 68 thousand of us. Each death is a tragedy, but is that many deaths, or only a few? Are our reactions actually reducing the number of people who might die, or are we putting more people at risk?

I looked in the CDC data for the last 10 years. The flu kills about 37 thousand of us a year, though the numbers vary from 12 to 61 thousand. That means the Covid-19 virus is expected to be about 80 percent worse than the average flu. Again, is that a lot or a little?

A decade of the flu in the US

About 2.8 million residents of the USA die each year. About two percent of the people who die this year will die from Covid-19. It is also true that mortality rates go up during an economic recession, and the effect is significant.

About 47 thousand (2017) people take their own life each year in the USA. Being unemployed can double or triple the likelihood of suicide among the 20 million people we forced out of work due to Covid-19. We can’t prove that social distancing costs lives overall because we don’t know how effective it is at slowing the spread of Covid-19, and then how effective the reduced infection rate is at saving lives.

Consider the unintended effects of social isolation. Over 20 million of us are unemployed because their business are closed. Medical patients are denied their treatment because we closed parts of our hospitals. Addicts can’t go to their AA and NA meetings because we closed “unnecessary” meetings. We can easily make the cure worse than the disease unless we’re wise in the ways we fight Covid-19.

I know this is an election year, so every politician needs to get his face in front of the news media. I know the news media has to sell advertising with sensationalized stories.

Even with those facts as a given, our reaction doesn’t make sense.

I gave you 200 words. Please share them with a friend. RM
‘influenza 2009-10 12,500 deaths

Sweden claims coronavirus success after keeping country open – New York Daily News

April 25, 2020

“Criticized for refusing to lock down, Sweden’s top health official says herd immunity is inevitable and took credit for the slowing of coronavirus numbers.

“According to our modelers, we are starting to see so many immune people in the population in Stockholm that it is starting to have an effect on the spread of the infection,” Anders Tegnell, who led the charge to keep Sweden open, told local media. “Our models point to some time in May.”

Source: Sweden claims coronavirus success after keeping country open – New York Daily News

The World Could Be Ending- More News At 7

April 25, 2020

We are suffering from a dangerous disease. This disease causes us to repeat exciting news that might not be true. We look for this news because it makes us feel competent and important. This gullibility-disease also makes us stupid because the news is often exaggerated. The coronavirus of 2020 is our latest example. We could call it Coronavirus Derangement Syndrome, but that sounds too much like the CDC, and that abbreviation is already discredited. The news does a terrible job, so we need a long-term prescription of skepticism. We want to understand how this gullibility-disease works and what real reporting would look like.

The sensational media looks too much like this-

Mr. Prettyface says, ‘The sun came up this morning, and several models of the end of the world begin with the sun coming up. Ms. Prettyface, this could be the catastrophe that experts predicted. What do you think?’

Ms. Prettyface says, ‘Yes, I read the reports from Mr. Smartface, and his story about the end of the world certainly started with the sun coming up. We have several verified reports from our correspondents in Washington that the sun actually came up, so this could be disastrous.

Mr. Prettyface says, ‘More breaking news about the end of the world after this commercial for life insurance.’

We had some reports that a novel respiratory disease killed an unexpected number of people. Epidemics look like that, so this could be the beginning of an epidemic.. or not. The word “could” has a very clear meaning. “Could” means ‘something unusual happened, and we don’t know what it is.’ We might make that phrase simpler, and shorten it to S.U.H.A.W.D.K.W.I.I., but I prefer another approach. Let’s replace ‘could’ with ‘something we don’t know.’

We saw some people die of an unusual illness. We think this is a virus. This is ‘something we don’t know.’

When we were first learning about ‘something we don’t know’ we found out that it killed as many as a thousand people in Europe. That fact is fascinating, but not meaningful. To understand this number, we have to compare something that we don’t know to the diseases we see year after year. Here in the USA, we might see 600 people die a day from the flu in a bad season like the fall and winter of 2017-2018. Now we start to have some perspective on the news. A thousand people a day is certainly serious, but not shocking.

As of last week, New York City was the hotspot for the coronavirus in the US with the highest rate of infection. They estimated that a total of 40 thousand people in New York City were admitted to hospitals with symptoms consistent with the coronavirus. That sounds end-of-the-world disastrous.

40 thousand hospital admissions is slightly less than one-half-of-one percent of the population of the five boroughs. Fewer than one-person-in-220 sought treatment and was put into the hospital for either observation, isolation, or treatment. In a bad year for the ordinary flu, about 800 thousand of us in the USA go to the hospital due to the flu. That is one-out-of-400 for the flu, and one-out-of-220 for the coronavirus.

What the report failed to mention is that 94 percent of the patients in New York had at least one pre-existing medical condition. 88 percent of those hospitalized had two significant pre-existing conditions. 40 thousand people in New York City going to the hospital is a clear cause for concern, but it won’t sell life insurance after you understand it.

New York City had as many as 16 thousand deaths due to the coronavirus in 2020. That means that the illness may be lethal to as many as 40-percent of the patients hospitalized. That sounds like the disease is particularly deadly.. if you’re already ill with several chronic diseases. Across the USA, the flu is usually fatal to about ten percent of the people admitted to the hospital. Now we know that the coronavirus of 2020 is more difficult to treat than the usual strains of the flu. That is interesting, but it isn’t shocking enough to sell life insurance.

As of today, April 25th, we are several weeks past the peak-rate of daily fatalities ascribed to Covid19. We’ve had about 46 thousand deaths attributed to the virus so far here in the USA. That sounds shocking, but stay tuned for more news.

A serious season of the flu kills about 61 thousand of us in the USA. Most of these victims had prior medical complications. That means a previous illness prevented them from recovering from the flu. As you’d expect, the elderly are particularly vulnerable. That is true of Covid 19 cases also. The virus of 2020 is unusual, so many young people have never seen a similar virus in their lifetime. That puts some younger people at risk. That is bad news, but it won’t sell life insurance. Not if you explain it like that.

The death toll from Covid 19 could be as high as 100 thousand people in the USA. That means that ‘something we don’t know’ could be about two and a half times as deadly as the usual flu. Many hospitals can only take a 60 percent increase before they have to reconfigure the way they operate. That might sell insurance for a day, but it takes a lot of salesmanship to turn that into a panic.

Maybe I’ve given you a vaccine for the news. We’ll see who the real anti-vaxxers are.

The original article with sources is here.

I gave you 800 words. Please share them with a friend.
“New York Times report on patient health- “



%d bloggers like this: