Do Conservatives Predict the Future?
Richard Bell comments on the accuracy of political conservatives predicting the effects of social programs. That makes me wonder if we citizen-voters care about the future. Do we care if Bell is right? Do we want the truth or will we settle for a pretty lie? Are we asking our politicians to do the right thing, or to look handsome and promise us a sweet and shiny fantasy? Bell’s comments made me think so I shared them. There are exceptions, but he made me think.
“All in all, conservatives have a pretty good track record at predicting the consequences of social policy.
Conservatives warned that loosening divorce laws and one-parent families would have negative social consequences. The left ridiculed them, but in the end, conservatives were proven right.
Conservatives warned that expansion of welfare programs would lead to dependency on Government and an unsustainable cost burden. The left ridiculed them, but in the end, conservatives were proven right.
Conservatives said that easing gun laws and allowing more people to carry guns would lead to reduced crime. The left ridiculed them, but in the end, conservatives were proven right.
Conservatives warned that Obamacare would raise health care costs, add trillions to the deficit, and lead to rationing of health care (death panels). Again, the left ridiculed them, but now even the left is admitting that all of these things will happen.
Given the track record, on most issues, I trust conservatives to predict the consequences correctly more often than the left.”
The exceptions are also interesting.